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2024-12-13 04:33:44
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In 2024, the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.35%, which was the ninth consecutive meeting and was in line with market expectations.Heavy meeting set the tone! The turnover of A-shares exceeded one trillion yuan for 50 consecutive trading days, focusing on the opportunities of core assets of A50ETF Huabao (159596). On December 10th, the A-share market rose across the board, and the turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded one trillion yuan for the 50th consecutive trading day, setting a new record. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) had increased by 1.98%, with a turnover of 101 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks rose more and fell less. CITIC Securities led the gains, and China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and other stocks followed suit. According to changjiang securities's analysis, "moderately loose monetary policy" indicates abundant liquidity and broad-spectrum interest rate is still in the downward channel, which is expected to benefit bonds and stocks from the denominator. The "more active fiscal policy" and "all-round expansion of domestic demand" indicate that the broad credit policy is expected to continue to increase, and it is expected to support the price of equity assets from the molecular side.Reserve Bank of Australia: The issue of interest rate cuts was not explicitly discussed. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that interest rate cuts were not explicitly considered, and interest rate hikes were not discussed. Considering whether the current policy stance is appropriate. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with the forecast.


The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index opened at 4042.28 points in the afternoon, up 1.91%. The Shanghai Composite Index opened at 3,456.49 points in the afternoon, up 1.59%. Shenzhen Component Index opened at 10,958.68 points in the afternoon, up 2.12%. The GEM index opened at 2,299.14 points in the afternoon, up 2.25%. Small and medium-sized board opened at 11,786.93 points in the afternoon, up 1.99%.AliExpress has held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and other places. AliExpress has prepared a number of measures such as traffic and freight reduction for new merchants, and held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong and other places in a month, attracting merchants from factories and industries to join. In addition, this year's "Black Five" is not over yet. Before double 11, the trend of "anti-involution" of e-commerce spread to cross-border circles, and AliExpress launched a series of policies to actively intercept and control the "refund only" and wool party that troubled businesses. (Interface News)The Reserve Bank of Australia maintains the interest rate at a 13-year high, suggesting that it has made progress in fighting inflation. The Reserve Bank of Australia maintains the key interest rate at a 13-year high to cope with stubborn price pressure, while suggesting that it has made some progress in fighting inflation. The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash interest rate unchanged at 4.35% on Tuesday. As widely expected, it has kept the interest rate at this level for more than a year. The Monetary Policy Committee said that "there is some confidence that inflation is moving towards the target in a sustainable way". Australian dollar and policy-sensitive 3-year Australian government bond yields fell. Since the last meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Australian dollar has fallen by about 3% against the US dollar, while Australian government bonds have risen due to the expectation of interest rate cuts as early as February next year.


Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.India's SENSEX30 index opened 0.08% higher at 81,575.96 points. Among the constituent stocks, MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA opened 1.15% higher, ADANI PORTS rose 1%, and Indian State Grid rose 0.88%; In terms of decline, Maruti Suzuki opened 0.46% lower, Reliance Industries fell 0.4%, and TITAN fell 0.39%.The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion, exceeding 430 billion compared with yesterday.

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